Knicks vs. Pacers: Odds, Insights, and Game 4 Predictions Shake Up 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Finals

Knicks’ Momentum Meets Pacers’ Resilience: Game 4 Set for a Showdown

This year’s NBA Eastern Conference Finals have spun a storyline packed with drama and unpredictability. Heading into Game 4, the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers have each thrown haymakers, but a few trends and key performances have brought the spotlight crashing down right on this pivotal matchup. If you’re planning to watch—or maybe even bet on—the next chapter, there’s more than just momentum and stats at play.

The Knicks arrive hot off the heels of a wild comeback win. Down by 20 points in Game 3, they flipped the script with a surge powered by their star duo. Karl-Anthony Towns found another gear in the fourth quarter, scoring 20 of his 24 points and sweeping up 15 rebounds along the way. Jalen Brunson, as steady as they come, dropped 23 points in the clutch, showing the kind of poise New York fans have come to trust in tight spots.

But Indiana isn’t stumbling out of the spotlight. The Pacers have built a reputation for bouncing back fast, especially against the spread. After dropping a game, they stand tall with a 19-13-2 record against the number—a stat that keeps bettors honest. Tyrese Haliburton leads the engine with 9.4 playoff assists per game and is as dangerous off the ball as he is orchestrating the pick-and-roll. In Game 3, he chipped in with 20 points and 7 assists, keeping everyone on their toes and the offense humming.

On paper, the Knicks have something to brag about when it comes to covering the spread. They’re 32-25-1 ATS on a day’s rest and 32-23-1 when both teams come in equally rested. The Pacers, though, have more than held their own with a 9-4 ATS playoff record—those numbers can’t be ignored by anyone eyeing the betting lines.

The big question—and the pivot point for Game 4—is whether New York’s defense can patch up its holes. The Knicks struggled to contain Indiana’s pick-and-roll action, especially with Haliburton pulling the strings and Miles Turner carving out space inside. Every time the Pacers set that high screen, New York looked a step behind. If the Knicks don’t make a few tweaks, especially in the paint and on rotations, the door is wide open for Indiana to rack up easy buckets and test New York’s resolve again.

Can Towns and Brunson Keep Delivering?

It’s not just about stopping Indiana. The Knicks are living and dying by Karl-Anthony Towns’ streaky offense and Brunson’s leadership down the stretch. Towns’ explosive performance in the final quarter of Game 3 gave fans a taste of what’s possible when he’s locked in. The question is whether he can keep that fire burning or if Indiana comes better prepared with defensive double teams and more physical play in the paint.

For the Pacers, sticking to their playbook—relentlessly running the pick-and-roll and trusting Haliburton to make the right read—could open up corner shooters and make life miserable for New York’s switching defenders. And don’t count out Miles Turner. His ability to score at the rim and stretch the defense out beyond the arc makes him a wild card that New York’s defenders can’t ignore.

The numbers and trends tell one story, but playoff basketball is anything but predictable. When the lights come on for Game 4, watch how New York responds to Indiana’s calculated aggression and whether the Knicks’ stars can keep their foot on the gas. With every possession up for grabs and the series on the line, expect more high drama—and maybe a few surprises—before one side takes command of the Eastern Conference Finals.