Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop Bets: Best Picks for Thunder vs. Pacers Game 2

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s Hot Streak in the NBA Finals

The spotlight is fixed firmly on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the Oklahoma City Thunder get ready for another battle against the Indiana Pacers in Game 2 of the 2025 NBA Finals. After exploding for 38 points in Game 1, bettors and fans alike are eyeing his prop markets for value. Gilgeous-Alexander has been anything but shy on the offensive end, notching at least 30 points in twelve separate playoff games this year. Even more impressive, this isn't just a recent thing—he’s had five outings in his career where he’s gone over 30 against Indiana. He seems to save some of his best stuff for this matchup.

Bookmakers are setting the over-under for SGA’s points at 30, with serious juice on the over. That makes sense, given his current form and the fact he’s now put together three straight games over the 30-point mark. For anyone who’s watched him, these numbers don’t feel inflated the way some playoff stats can. Gilgeous-Alexander is getting his buckets against every defense and situation thrown at him, often relying on his creative finishing and smooth mid-range game. The Pacers just haven’t looked equipped to slow him down for four straight quarters.

Beyond Points: Threes, Parlays, and Betting Angles

The three-point prop is sitting at 1.5, and initially, it might not jump off the screen—you might remember his 1-for-5 night from deep in Game 1. But there’s context here. This postseason, Gilgeous-Alexander has seen a real improvement in his perimeter game. He isn’t a high-volume shooter from downtown, but his confidence is up and the Thunder's offense gives him clean looks. With Indiana's defense often collapsing inside, those open threes are going to be there if he wants them. The price isn’t too steep, so there’s value on the over if you think he finds his stroke.

Now, let’s talk about same-game parlays. These are getting tons of attention, especially with the way oddsmakers are pricing the spreads. One sharp option pairs SGA’s points over with the Pacers on an alternate spread (+6.5). This looks pretty attractive once you realize Indiana has thrived as an underdog, covering the spread 24 times in 42 tries when not favored. They’ve also been especially strong in big dog situations, covering six straight when the line is five points or more in someone else’s favor.

The thinking here is simple: Gilgeous-Alexander is a safe bet to keep pouring in points, but Indiana has regularly kept games close when counted out by the lines. That combination has paid dividends for bettors over the course of the season, especially in wild playoff settings like this. If SGA stays hot and Indiana hangs around, there’s real potential for a same-game payout.

All eyes are on the Thunder’s star. And right now, the stats—and the lines—suggest you don’t want to bet against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turning in another monster performance.